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Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?

Market icon

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?

1450.00–1474.99 100.0%

<1325.00 <1%

1325.00–1349.99 <1%

1350.00–1374.99 <1%

Polymarket

$178,729 Vol.

1450.00–1474.99 100.0%

<1325.00 <1%

1325.00–1349.99 <1%

1350.00–1374.99 <1%

Polymarket

$178,729 Vol.

<1325.00

$24,482 Vol.

No

1325.00–1349.99

$68,676 Vol.

No

1350.00–1374.99

$6,170 Vol.

No

1375.00–1399.99

$9,746 Vol.

No

1400.00–1424.99

$12,834 Vol.

No

1425.00–1449.99

$13,460 Vol.

No

1450.00–1474.99

$13,077 Vol.

Yes

1475.00–1499.99

$8,480 Vol.

No

1500.00+

$21,805 Vol.

No

This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2025, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).

This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2025, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).

If the official rate for that date has not been published by January 7, 2026, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.

The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g. 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$178,729
End Date
Jan 1, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 23, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2025, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2025, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by January 7, 2026, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g. 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1450.00–1474.99" at 100%, followed by "<1325.00" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?" has generated $178.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?" is "1450.00–1474.99" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<1325.00" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate on December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.