Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" markets reflects heightened seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, with a magnitude 7.3 quake striking 49 km northeast of Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—just one day ago—following a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24. These events, confirmed by USGS data, have pushed near-term "Yes" probabilities near certainty in resolved or expiring markets like March 31, underscoring the roughly biweekly global average for M7+ events amid March's tally of at least one such quake. Ongoing monitoring of fault zones like the New Britain or Java trenches could trigger shifts, but earthquakes remain inherently unpredictable, with resolution tied to USGS listings allowing 24-hour revisions for magnitude updates. Key watch: any emerging aftershocks or new epicenters in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$102,081 Vol.
May 31, 2026
March 31
Yes
April 30
Yes
May 31
Yes
$102,081 Vol.
March 31
$58,725 Vol.
Yes
April 30
$23,606 Vol.
Yes
May 31
$19,750 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" markets reflects heightened seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, with a magnitude 7.3 quake striking 49 km northeast of Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—just one day ago—following a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24. These events, confirmed by USGS data, have pushed near-term "Yes" probabilities near certainty in resolved or expiring markets like March 31, underscoring the roughly biweekly global average for M7+ events amid March's tally of at least one such quake. Ongoing monitoring of fault zones like the New Britain or Java trenches could trigger shifts, but earthquakes remain inherently unpredictable, with resolution tied to USGS listings allowing 24-hour revisions for magnitude updates. Key watch: any emerging aftershocks or new epicenters in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Volume
$102,081End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" markets reflects heightened seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, with a magnitude 7.3 quake striking 49 km northeast of Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—just one day ago—following a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24. These events, confirmed by USGS data, have pushed near-term "Yes" probabilities near certainty in resolved or expiring markets like March 31, underscoring the roughly biweekly global average for M7+ events amid March's tally of at least one such quake. Ongoing monitoring of fault zones like the New Britain or Java trenches could trigger shifts, but earthquakes remain inherently unpredictable, with resolution tied to USGS listings allowing 24-hour revisions for magnitude updates. Key watch: any emerging aftershocks or new epicenters in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$102,081End Date
May 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?" markets reflects heightened seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, with a magnitude 7.3 quake striking 49 km northeast of Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—just one day ago—following a 7.5 off Tonga on March 24. These events, confirmed by USGS data, have pushed near-term "Yes" probabilities near certainty in resolved or expiring markets like March 31, underscoring the roughly biweekly global average for M7+ events amid March's tally of at least one such quake. Ongoing monitoring of fault zones like the New Britain or Java trenches could trigger shifts, but earthquakes remain inherently unpredictable, with resolution tied to USGS listings allowing 24-hour revisions for magnitude updates. Key watch: any emerging aftershocks or new epicenters in the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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