Market icon

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?

<1% chance

$115,111 Vol.

Reglas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Malibu by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

East Malibu will not count as Malibu for the purposes of this market. Only Malibu's official boundary west of the Malibu creek/lagoon will count (see:https://maps.app.goo.gl/H3sMfYLwPQTbsCvd6)

The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Malibu may also be used.
Volumen
$115,111
Fecha de finalización
Jan 12, 2025
Creado en
Jan 8, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?

<1% chance

$115,111 Vol.

Acerca de

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California spreads to Malibu by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

East Malibu will not count as Malibu for the purposes of this market. Only Malibu's official boundary west of the Malibu creek/lagoon will count (see:https://maps.app.goo.gl/H3sMfYLwPQTbsCvd6)

The Primary resolution source is official updates from the fire map at https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting or video/photo evidence released before the resolution date confirming the fire has spread to Malibu may also be used.
Volumen
$115,111
Fecha de finalización
Jan 12, 2025
Creado en
Jan 8, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.