A shaky ceasefire has held in Gaza throughout March 2026, with Israel conducting limited operations against Hamas while prioritizing conflicts in Lebanon and with Iran, anchoring trader sentiment against a major ground offensive. On March 26, details emerged of a U.S.-backed Board of Peace plan for Hamas to gradually disarm over eight months, including tunnel destruction, which Hamas is now considering as a path to stabilizing the territory. This diplomatic momentum, tied to Trump administration priorities, overshadows earlier January reports of potential Gaza City operations requiring U.S. approval. Upcoming Hamas responses and negotiation outcomes could further de-escalate tensions or prompt shifts, amid ongoing low-level military actions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$492,364 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025
31 de marzo de 2026
2%
30 de junio
16%
31 de diciembre
38%
$492,364 Vol.
31 de marzo de 2026
$320,604 Vol.
2%
30 de junio
$8,067 Vol.
16%
31 de diciembre
$12,806 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shaky ceasefire has held in Gaza throughout March 2026, with Israel conducting limited operations against Hamas while prioritizing conflicts in Lebanon and with Iran, anchoring trader sentiment against a major ground offensive. On March 26, details emerged of a U.S.-backed Board of Peace plan for Hamas to gradually disarm over eight months, including tunnel destruction, which Hamas is now considering as a path to stabilizing the territory. This diplomatic momentum, tied to Trump administration priorities, overshadows earlier January reports of potential Gaza City operations requiring U.S. approval. Upcoming Hamas responses and negotiation outcomes could further de-escalate tensions or prompt shifts, amid ongoing low-level military actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volumen
$492,364Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shaky ceasefire has held in Gaza throughout March 2026, with Israel conducting limited operations against Hamas while prioritizing conflicts in Lebanon and with Iran, anchoring trader sentiment against a major ground offensive. On March 26, details emerged of a U.S.-backed Board of Peace plan for Hamas to gradually disarm over eight months, including tunnel destruction, which Hamas is now considering as a path to stabilizing the territory. This diplomatic momentum, tied to Trump administration priorities, overshadows earlier January reports of potential Gaza City operations requiring U.S. approval. Upcoming Hamas responses and negotiation outcomes could further de-escalate tensions or prompt shifts, amid ongoing low-level military actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$492,364Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A shaky ceasefire has held in Gaza throughout March 2026, with Israel conducting limited operations against Hamas while prioritizing conflicts in Lebanon and with Iran, anchoring trader sentiment against a major ground offensive. On March 26, details emerged of a U.S.-backed Board of Peace plan for Hamas to gradually disarm over eight months, including tunnel destruction, which Hamas is now considering as a path to stabilizing the territory. This diplomatic momentum, tied to Trump administration priorities, overshadows earlier January reports of potential Gaza City operations requiring U.S. approval. Upcoming Hamas responses and negotiation outcomes could further de-escalate tensions or prompt shifts, amid ongoing low-level military actions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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