Israeli forces continue precision airstrikes and limited ground raids across Gaza to target Hamas leaders and infrastructure, avoiding a full-scale ground offensive amid intense diplomatic pressure for a ceasefire. The latest Doha talks mediated by the US, Qatar, and Egypt collapsed last week without progress on hostage releases or permanent truce, prompting Netanyahu to vow escalated military action if needed, while facing US warnings against Rafah expansion that could spike civilian casualties. Domestic protests demand hostage deals over invasion risks, and UN resolutions highlight humanitarian crisis. Traders watch for breakthroughs in indirect negotiations or Hamas responses, with no confirmed plans for major incursion before year-end deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$492,142 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025
31 de marzo de 2026
2%
30 de junio
16%
31 de diciembre
39%
$492,142 Vol.
31 de marzo de 2026
$320,392 Vol.
2%
30 de junio
$8,058 Vol.
16%
31 de diciembre
$12,806 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces continue precision airstrikes and limited ground raids across Gaza to target Hamas leaders and infrastructure, avoiding a full-scale ground offensive amid intense diplomatic pressure for a ceasefire. The latest Doha talks mediated by the US, Qatar, and Egypt collapsed last week without progress on hostage releases or permanent truce, prompting Netanyahu to vow escalated military action if needed, while facing US warnings against Rafah expansion that could spike civilian casualties. Domestic protests demand hostage deals over invasion risks, and UN resolutions highlight humanitarian crisis. Traders watch for breakthroughs in indirect negotiations or Hamas responses, with no confirmed plans for major incursion before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
Volumen
$492,142Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces continue precision airstrikes and limited ground raids across Gaza to target Hamas leaders and infrastructure, avoiding a full-scale ground offensive amid intense diplomatic pressure for a ceasefire. The latest Doha talks mediated by the US, Qatar, and Egypt collapsed last week without progress on hostage releases or permanent truce, prompting Netanyahu to vow escalated military action if needed, while facing US warnings against Rafah expansion that could spike civilian casualties. Domestic protests demand hostage deals over invasion risks, and UN resolutions highlight humanitarian crisis. Traders watch for breakthroughs in indirect negotiations or Hamas responses, with no confirmed plans for major incursion before year-end deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$492,142Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces continue precision airstrikes and limited ground raids across Gaza to target Hamas leaders and infrastructure, avoiding a full-scale ground offensive amid intense diplomatic pressure for a ceasefire. The latest Doha talks mediated by the US, Qatar, and Egypt collapsed last week without progress on hostage releases or permanent truce, prompting Netanyahu to vow escalated military action if needed, while facing US warnings against Rafah expansion that could spike civilian casualties. Domestic protests demand hostage deals over invasion risks, and UN resolutions highlight humanitarian crisis. Traders watch for breakthroughs in indirect negotiations or Hamas responses, with no confirmed plans for major incursion before year-end deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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