Market icon
Política·Trump

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$133,211 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$133,211 Vol.

Polymarket

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

56%

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

54%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

29%

Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

42%

Keonne Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

40%

Daniel Penny

$0 Vol.

38%

Ryan Salame

$15,015 Vol.

26%

Young Thug

$0 Vol.

31%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

17%

Bob Menendez

$0 Vol.

19%

Steve Bannon

$0 Vol.

17%

Joe Exotic

$0 Vol.

14%

Martin Shkreli

$2,774 Vol.

12%

Eric Adams

$0 Vol.

12%

Edward Snowden

$1,742 Vol.

11%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$9,382 Vol.

11%

Do Kwon

$14,965 Vol.

9%

Nicolás Maduro

$5,256 Vol.

9%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$34,396 Vol.

8%

Diddy

$0 Vol.

8%

Elizabeth Holmes

$0 Vol.

14%

Elon Musk

$48,180 Vol.

6%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

6%

Derek Chauvin

$0 Vol.

5%

Julian Assange

$1,500 Vol.

11%

Hunter Biden

$0 Vol.

5%

Él mismo

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

President-elect Donald Trump wields broad Article II pardon power for federal offenses upon his January 20, 2025, inauguration, extending through his term ending in 2029. Trader sentiment centers on his repeated pledges for mass clemency toward January 6 defendants, whom he terms "J6 hostages," as reiterated in late December Fox News interviews promising pardons for most except those committing "heinous acts." Allies facing federal cases, including Rudy Giuliani (defamation and election interference), Steve Bannon (contempt), and Peter Navarro (contempt), drive speculation after Trump's signals of consideration. No official list announced; upcoming transition briefings and early executive orders could catalyze shifts, with historical precedent showing rapid Day One pardons possible.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 27 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Donald Brodie" con 56%, seguido de "Stefan Brodie" con 54%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $133.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 27 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Donald Brodie" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Stefan Brodie" con 54%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.