President Trump's nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, formally sent to the Senate on March 4, advanced decisively today with the Senate Banking Committee scheduling Warsh's confirmation hearing for April 16. This momentum, coupled with Warsh's extensive central bank experience and Republican Senate control, drives trader consensus assigning him overwhelming implied probability ahead of Powell's May term expiration. Realistic challenges include opposition from senators like Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Powell's congressional testimony before supporting, unexpected scandals, or procedural delays that could push confirmation past key deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoKevin Warsh 96.3%
Judy Shelton 1.4%
Michelle Bowman <1%
Stephen Miran <1%
$20,477,240 Vol.
$20,477,240 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Kevin Warsh
96%
Judy Shelton
1%
Kevin Hassett
<1%
Christopher Waller
<1%
Jerome Powell
<1%
Stephen Miran
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
Rick Reider
<1%
Michelle Bowman
1%
Kevin Warsh 96.3%
Judy Shelton 1.4%
Michelle Bowman <1%
Stephen Miran <1%
$20,477,240 Vol.
$20,477,240 Vol.
31 oct 2026
Kevin Warsh
$2,810,328 Vol.
96%
Judy Shelton
$9,319,467 Vol.
1%
Kevin Hassett
$842,183 Vol.
<1%
Christopher Waller
$772,484 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$969,821 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$794,434 Vol.
<1%
Scott Bessent
$2,175,170 Vol.
<1%
Rick Reider
$672,667 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bowman
$2,122,972 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, formally sent to the Senate on March 4, advanced decisively today with the Senate Banking Committee scheduling Warsh's confirmation hearing for April 16. This momentum, coupled with Warsh's extensive central bank experience and Republican Senate control, drives trader consensus assigning him overwhelming implied probability ahead of Powell's May term expiration. Realistic challenges include opposition from senators like Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Powell's congressional testimony before supporting, unexpected scandals, or procedural delays that could push confirmation past key deadlines.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Volumen
$20,477,240Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, formally sent to the Senate on March 4, advanced decisively today with the Senate Banking Committee scheduling Warsh's confirmation hearing for April 16. This momentum, coupled with Warsh's extensive central bank experience and Republican Senate control, drives trader consensus assigning him overwhelming implied probability ahead of Powell's May term expiration. Realistic challenges include opposition from senators like Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Powell's congressional testimony before supporting, unexpected scandals, or procedural delays that could push confirmation past key deadlines.
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$20,477,240Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, formally sent to the Senate on March 4, advanced decisively today with the Senate Banking Committee scheduling Warsh's confirmation hearing for April 16. This momentum, coupled with Warsh's extensive central bank experience and Republican Senate control, drives trader consensus assigning him overwhelming implied probability ahead of Powell's May term expiration. Realistic challenges include opposition from senators like Thom Tillis, who demands resolution of a DOJ probe into Powell's congressional testimony before supporting, unexpected scandals, or procedural delays that could push confirmation past key deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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