Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Tom Begich (80% Yes) to secure one of four advancement spots from Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by a crowded Republican field of over 10 candidates fragmenting conservative votes while Begich consolidates limited Democratic support. Republicans Bernadette Wilson (65%), Dave Bronson (52%—Anchorage mayor), and Click Bishop (42%) trail closely for the other slots, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (16%) lagging amid fundraising competition revealed in February reports showing six-figure hauls for top contenders. Term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit heightens open-seat dynamics; no primary polls exist, but general first-round surveys bolster Begich's edge. June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$35,743 Vol.
Tom Begich
80%
Bernadette Wilson
66%
Dave Bronson
52%
Click Bishop
42%
Treg Taylor
41%
Adam Crum
21%
Nancy Dahlstrom
16%
Hank Kroll
14%
Matt Claman
11%
Matt Heilala
11%
Edna DeVries
10%
Shelley Hughes
9%
James Parkin
6%
$35,743 Vol.
Tom Begich
80%
Bernadette Wilson
66%
Dave Bronson
52%
Click Bishop
42%
Treg Taylor
41%
Adam Crum
21%
Nancy Dahlstrom
16%
Hank Kroll
14%
Matt Claman
11%
Matt Heilala
11%
Edna DeVries
10%
Shelley Hughes
9%
James Parkin
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Tom Begich (80% Yes) to secure one of four advancement spots from Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by a crowded Republican field of over 10 candidates fragmenting conservative votes while Begich consolidates limited Democratic support. Republicans Bernadette Wilson (65%), Dave Bronson (52%—Anchorage mayor), and Click Bishop (42%) trail closely for the other slots, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (16%) lagging amid fundraising competition revealed in February reports showing six-figure hauls for top contenders. Term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit heightens open-seat dynamics; no primary polls exist, but general first-round surveys bolster Begich's edge. June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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