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¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?

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¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?

$35,743 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$35,743 Vol.

Polymarket

Tom Begich

$6,996 Vol.

80%

Bernadette Wilson

$13,820 Vol.

66%

Dave Bronson

$1,481 Vol.

52%

Click Bishop

$0 Vol.

42%

Treg Taylor

$0 Vol.

41%

Adam Crum

$0 Vol.

21%

Nancy Dahlstrom

$0 Vol.

16%

Hank Kroll

$0 Vol.

14%

Matt Claman

$0 Vol.

11%

Matt Heilala

$2,602 Vol.

11%

Edna DeVries

$10,843 Vol.

10%

Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

9%

James Parkin

$0 Vol.

6%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Tom Begich (80% Yes) to secure one of four advancement spots from Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by a crowded Republican field of over 10 candidates fragmenting conservative votes while Begich consolidates limited Democratic support. Republicans Bernadette Wilson (65%), Dave Bronson (52%—Anchorage mayor), and Click Bishop (42%) trail closely for the other slots, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (16%) lagging amid fundraising competition revealed in February reports showing six-figure hauls for top contenders. Term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit heightens open-seat dynamics; no primary polls exist, but general first-round surveys bolster Begich's edge. June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Tom Begich (80% Yes) to secure one of four advancement spots from Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by a crowded Republican field of over 10 candidates fragmenting conservative votes while Begich consolidates limited Democratic support. Republicans Bernadette Wilson (65%), Dave Bronson (52%—Anchorage mayor), and Click Bishop (42%) trail closely for the other slots, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (16%) lagging amid fundraising competition revealed in February reports showing six-figure hauls for top contenders. Term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit heightens open-seat dynamics; no primary polls exist, but general first-round surveys bolster Begich's edge. June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Tom Begich (80% Yes) to secure one of four advancement spots from Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by a crowded Republican field of over 10 candidates fragmenting conservative votes while Begich consolidates limited Democratic support. Republicans Bernadette Wilson (65%), Dave Bronson (52%—Anchorage mayor), and Click Bishop (42%) trail closely for the other slots, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (16%) lagging amid fundraising competition revealed in February reports showing six-figure hauls for top contenders. Term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit heightens open-seat dynamics; no primary polls exist, but general first-round surveys bolster Begich's edge. June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Democrat Tom Begich (80% Yes) to secure one of four advancement spots from Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by a crowded Republican field of over 10 candidates fragmenting conservative votes while Begich consolidates limited Democratic support. Republicans Bernadette Wilson (65%), Dave Bronson (52%—Anchorage mayor), and Click Bishop (42%) trail closely for the other slots, with Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (16%) lagging amid fundraising competition revealed in February reports showing six-figure hauls for top contenders. Term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's exit heightens open-seat dynamics; no primary polls exist, but general first-round surveys bolster Begich's edge. June 1 filing deadline looms as a key catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Begich" con 80%, seguido de "Bernadette Wilson" con 66%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" ha generado $35.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" es "Tom Begich" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Bernadette Wilson" con 66%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién avanzará de las primarias del Gobernador de Alaska?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.