$2,963,363 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Arabia Saudita
32%
Qatar
31%
EAU
27%
Reino Unido
21%
Any E.U. Country
20%
Bahréin
14%
Kuwait
14%
Francia
13%
Turquía
12%
Jordania
11%
Alemania
5%
Omán
4%
Canadá
3%
$2,963,363 Vol.
Arabia Saudita
$623,393 Vol.
32%
Qatar
$510,354 Vol.
31%
EAU
$385,384 Vol.
27%
Reino Unido
$321,089 Vol.
21%
Any E.U. Country
$80,160 Vol.
20%
Bahréin
$51,531 Vol.
14%
Kuwait
$17,525 Vol.
14%
Francia
$282,283 Vol.
13%
Turquía
$127,487 Vol.
12%
Jordania
$98,192 Vol.
11%
Alemania
$389,307 Vol.
5%
Omán
$13,649 Vol.
4%
Canadá
$63,009 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volumen
$2,963,363Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Frequently Asked Questions