Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?

NEW

$100,913 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

Reglas

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:

- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.

- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).

Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.

Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.

Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$100,913
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

¿Qué países se unirán a la Junta de Paz antes del 31 de marzo?

$100,913 Vol.

Turkiye

$2,248 Vol.

97%

Hungría

$820 Vol.

96%

Italia

$21 Vol.

79%

Países Bajos

$11 Vol.

65%

Russia

$24,614 Vol.

62%

España

$0 Vol.

52%

Reino Unido

$23 Vol.

51%

Suiza

$70 Vol.

50%

India

$1,812 Vol.

47%

Finlandia

$0 Vol.

42%

Ukraine

$4,900 Vol.

38%

Sweden

$3 Vol.

36%

Palestine

$250 Vol.

32%

Brasil

$38 Vol.

31%

France

$6,379 Vol.

13%

Germany

$9,615 Vol.

13%

China

$8,668 Vol.

11%

Denmark

$1,765 Vol.

10%

Bélgica

$205 Vol.

9%

Norway

$21 Vol.

5%

Acerca de

Volumen
$100,913
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.