Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, including repeated military leadership purges and anti-corruption enforcement, underpins trader consensus that a coup attempt remains highly improbable before 2027. Institutional mechanisms such as loyalty vetting, centralized control over the Central Military Commission, and the absence of organized elite opposition have sustained stability amid routine leadership rotations ahead of the 21st Party Congress. While verifiable developments like the early 2026 general removals reflect internal discipline rather than fractures, scenarios such as acute economic shocks, leadership health events, or unforeseen factional realignments could still introduce volatility within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$129,690 Vol.
$129,690 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$129,690 Vol.
$129,690 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, including repeated military leadership purges and anti-corruption enforcement, underpins trader consensus that a coup attempt remains highly improbable before 2027. Institutional mechanisms such as loyalty vetting, centralized control over the Central Military Commission, and the absence of organized elite opposition have sustained stability amid routine leadership rotations ahead of the 21st Party Congress. While verifiable developments like the early 2026 general removals reflect internal discipline rather than fractures, scenarios such as acute economic shocks, leadership health events, or unforeseen factional realignments could still introduce volatility within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$129,690Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, including repeated military leadership purges and anti-corruption enforcement, underpins trader consensus that a coup attempt remains highly improbable before 2027. Institutional mechanisms such as loyalty vetting, centralized control over the Central Military Commission, and the absence of organized elite opposition have sustained stability amid routine leadership rotations ahead of the 21st Party Congress. While verifiable developments like the early 2026 general removals reflect internal discipline rather than fractures, scenarios such as acute economic shocks, leadership health events, or unforeseen factional realignments could still introduce volatility within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$129,690Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army, including repeated military leadership purges and anti-corruption enforcement, underpins trader consensus that a coup attempt remains highly improbable before 2027. Institutional mechanisms such as loyalty vetting, centralized control over the Central Military Commission, and the absence of organized elite opposition have sustained stability amid routine leadership rotations ahead of the 21st Party Congress. While verifiable developments like the early 2026 general removals reflect internal discipline rather than fractures, scenarios such as acute economic shocks, leadership health events, or unforeseen factional realignments could still introduce volatility within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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