Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market favors "Capital of the World" at 72% implied probability, reflecting President Trump's repeated verbal references to U.S. global preeminence in recent speeches amid de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict, including his March 27 declaration of victory. The prior day's FII PRIORITY Summit keynote boosted "Bitcoin" to 37% after a direct endorsement positioning America as a crypto superpower, alongside mentions of "hottest," "oil," and "gas" that align with tracked phrases. "Sudan" holds 54% following a March 17 remark, while "War on Fraud" trades near even at 54% amid administration probes. With the March 31 verbal mention cutoff approaching, final press conferences or Cabinet meetings could sway contested outcomes like "Coward" (42%).
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$144,898 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Big Fat Cat
8%
N Word
1%
Hottest Nation
8%
Little Rocket Man
3%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
6%
Low Energy
9%
Aliens are Real
1%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
4%
Banana Republic
7%
Judy Shelton
3%
Secret Word
5%
Charlie Kirk
12%
War On Fraud
8%
Coward
24%
Capital of the World
10%
UFC Fight
18%
Liberation Day
13%
Sudan
30%
Truth Social
16%
Erika Kirk
9%
Third term
14%
$144,898 Vol.
Big Fat Cat
$772 Vol.
8%
N Word
$32,985 Vol.
1%
Hottest Nation
$10,876 Vol.
8%
Little Rocket Man
$1,492 Vol.
3%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
$772 Vol.
6%
Low Energy
$4,284 Vol.
9%
Aliens are Real
$8,816 Vol.
1%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
$1,485 Vol.
4%
Banana Republic
$1,339 Vol.
7%
Judy Shelton
$0 Vol.
3%
Secret Word
$166 Vol.
5%
Charlie Kirk
$4,189 Vol.
12%
War On Fraud
$293 Vol.
8%
Coward
$5,071 Vol.
24%
Capital of the World
$618 Vol.
10%
UFC Fight
$1,030 Vol.
18%
Liberation Day
$0 Vol.
13%
Sudan
$296 Vol.
30%
Truth Social
$5,922 Vol.
16%
Erika Kirk
$356 Vol.
9%
Third term
$16,813 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market favors "Capital of the World" at 72% implied probability, reflecting President Trump's repeated verbal references to U.S. global preeminence in recent speeches amid de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict, including his March 27 declaration of victory. The prior day's FII PRIORITY Summit keynote boosted "Bitcoin" to 37% after a direct endorsement positioning America as a crypto superpower, alongside mentions of "hottest," "oil," and "gas" that align with tracked phrases. "Sudan" holds 54% following a March 17 remark, while "War on Fraud" trades near even at 54% amid administration probes. With the March 31 verbal mention cutoff approaching, final press conferences or Cabinet meetings could sway contested outcomes like "Coward" (42%).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volumen
$144,898Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market favors "Capital of the World" at 72% implied probability, reflecting President Trump's repeated verbal references to U.S. global preeminence in recent speeches amid de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict, including his March 27 declaration of victory. The prior day's FII PRIORITY Summit keynote boosted "Bitcoin" to 37% after a direct endorsement positioning America as a crypto superpower, alongside mentions of "hottest," "oil," and "gas" that align with tracked phrases. "Sudan" holds 54% following a March 17 remark, while "War on Fraud" trades near even at 54% amid administration probes. With the March 31 verbal mention cutoff approaching, final press conferences or Cabinet meetings could sway contested outcomes like "Coward" (42%).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$144,898Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's multi-outcome market favors "Capital of the World" at 72% implied probability, reflecting President Trump's repeated verbal references to U.S. global preeminence in recent speeches amid de-escalation signals in the Iran conflict, including his March 27 declaration of victory. The prior day's FII PRIORITY Summit keynote boosted "Bitcoin" to 37% after a direct endorsement positioning America as a crypto superpower, alongside mentions of "hottest," "oil," and "gas" that align with tracked phrases. "Sudan" holds 54% following a March 17 remark, while "War on Fraud" trades near even at 54% amid administration probes. With the March 31 verbal mention cutoff approaching, final press conferences or Cabinet meetings could sway contested outcomes like "Coward" (42%).
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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