Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 81% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, driven by the April 21, 2026, redistricting referendum that could enact a Democratic-drawn map remaking VA-06 as a competitive seat—linking blue urban areas from the Shenandoah Valley to Blacksburg—after backing Kamala Harris by 3 points in 2024. A new George Mason University/Washington Post poll shows 52% of likely voters supporting or leaning toward the measure, despite higher motivation among opponents and rural GOP strength. Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats' crowded primary features well-funded Beth Macy alongside Pete Barlow, Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray; early voting for the referendum is underway.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoVA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$39,773 Vol.
$39,773 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
81%
Partido Republicano
19%
$39,773 Vol.
$39,773 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$22,496 Vol.
81%
Partido Republicano
$17,278 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 81% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, driven by the April 21, 2026, redistricting referendum that could enact a Democratic-drawn map remaking VA-06 as a competitive seat—linking blue urban areas from the Shenandoah Valley to Blacksburg—after backing Kamala Harris by 3 points in 2024. A new George Mason University/Washington Post poll shows 52% of likely voters supporting or leaning toward the measure, despite higher motivation among opponents and rural GOP strength. Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats' crowded primary features well-funded Beth Macy alongside Pete Barlow, Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray; early voting for the referendum is underway.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$39,773Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 81% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, driven by the April 21, 2026, redistricting referendum that could enact a Democratic-drawn map remaking VA-06 as a competitive seat—linking blue urban areas from the Shenandoah Valley to Blacksburg—after backing Kamala Harris by 3 points in 2024. A new George Mason University/Washington Post poll shows 52% of likely voters supporting or leaning toward the measure, despite higher motivation among opponents and rural GOP strength. Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats' crowded primary features well-funded Beth Macy alongside Pete Barlow, Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray; early voting for the referendum is underway.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,773Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 81% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District, driven by the April 21, 2026, redistricting referendum that could enact a Democratic-drawn map remaking VA-06 as a competitive seat—linking blue urban areas from the Shenandoah Valley to Blacksburg—after backing Kamala Harris by 3 points in 2024. A new George Mason University/Washington Post poll shows 52% of likely voters supporting or leaning toward the measure, despite higher motivation among opponents and rural GOP strength. Incumbent Rep. Ben Cline (R) runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrats' crowded primary features well-funded Beth Macy alongside Pete Barlow, Wendy Gooditis, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray; early voting for the referendum is underway.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes