Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated the month-long US-Israel war with Iran on March 28 by launching their first missile and drone strikes on Israel, opening a new front and raising risks to Red Sea shipping. This follows US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since early March, including the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, but no confirmed US military actions against Houthi positions in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days despite prior precedents for responding to maritime attacks. US Marines have deployed to the region, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated operations against Iran could wrap up within weeks. Key factors include potential retaliatory airstrikes, diplomatic de-escalation signals, or Houthi restraint ahead of any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$367,588 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 de marzo
7%
$367,588 Vol.
31 de marzo
$267,794 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated the month-long US-Israel war with Iran on March 28 by launching their first missile and drone strikes on Israel, opening a new front and raising risks to Red Sea shipping. This follows US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since early March, including the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, but no confirmed US military actions against Houthi positions in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days despite prior precedents for responding to maritime attacks. US Marines have deployed to the region, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated operations against Iran could wrap up within weeks. Key factors include potential retaliatory airstrikes, diplomatic de-escalation signals, or Houthi restraint ahead of any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$367,588Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated the month-long US-Israel war with Iran on March 28 by launching their first missile and drone strikes on Israel, opening a new front and raising risks to Red Sea shipping. This follows US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since early March, including the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, but no confirmed US military actions against Houthi positions in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days despite prior precedents for responding to maritime attacks. US Marines have deployed to the region, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated operations against Iran could wrap up within weeks. Key factors include potential retaliatory airstrikes, diplomatic de-escalation signals, or Houthi restraint ahead of any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$367,588Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels escalated the month-long US-Israel war with Iran on March 28 by launching their first missile and drone strikes on Israel, opening a new front and raising risks to Red Sea shipping. This follows US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since early March, including the killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, but no confirmed US military actions against Houthi positions in Yemen have occurred in the past 30 days despite prior precedents for responding to maritime attacks. US Marines have deployed to the region, and Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated operations against Iran could wrap up within weeks. Key factors include potential retaliatory airstrikes, diplomatic de-escalation signals, or Houthi restraint ahead of any resolution deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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