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Elecciones·Primarias

SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Alex Pelbath 43%

Mark Smith 39%

Sam McCown 19%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Alex Pelbath 43%

Mark Smith 39%

Sam McCown 19%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Alex Pelbath

$1,152 Vol.

43%

Mark Smith

$0 Vol.

39%

Sam McCown

$0 Vol.

18%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$0 Vol.

6%

Jack Ellison

$0 Vol.

6%

Logan Cunningham

$0 Vol.

2%

Jay Byars

$0 Vol.

2%

Justin Myers

$0 Vol.

<1%

Dan Brown

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the SC-01 Republican primary favors state House Majority Leader Mark Smith at 39% implied probability, reflecting his legislative experience and organizational advantages in the open race created by Rep. Nancy Mace's bid for governor. Retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27.5%, buoyed by his military background and Trump conservative appeal following his official filing on March 18. Physician Sam McCown ranks third at 19%, positioning as an outsider alternative in the crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent filings since March 16 have sharpened focus ahead of the June 9 primary, with sentiment driven by candidate profiles amid absent public polls.

Trader consensus in the SC-01 Republican primary favors state House Majority Leader Mark Smith at 39% implied probability, reflecting his legislative experience and organizational advantages in the open race created by Rep. Nancy Mace's bid for governor. Retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27.5%, buoyed by his military background and Trump conservative appeal following his official filing on March 18. Physician Sam McCown ranks third at 19%, positioning as an outsider alternative in the crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent filings since March 16 have sharpened focus ahead of the June 9 primary, with sentiment driven by candidate profiles amid absent public polls.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the SC-01 Republican primary favors state House Majority Leader Mark Smith at 39% implied probability, reflecting his legislative experience and organizational advantages in the open race created by Rep. Nancy Mace's bid for governor. Retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27.5%, buoyed by his military background and Trump conservative appeal following his official filing on March 18. Physician Sam McCown ranks third at 19%, positioning as an outsider alternative in the crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent filings since March 16 have sharpened focus ahead of the June 9 primary, with sentiment driven by candidate profiles amid absent public polls.

Trader consensus in the SC-01 Republican primary favors state House Majority Leader Mark Smith at 39% implied probability, reflecting his legislative experience and organizational advantages in the open race created by Rep. Nancy Mace's bid for governor. Retired U.S. Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27.5%, buoyed by his military background and Trump conservative appeal following his official filing on March 18. Physician Sam McCown ranks third at 19%, positioning as an outsider alternative in the crowded field of over a dozen candidates. Recent filings since March 16 have sharpened focus ahead of the June 9 primary, with sentiment driven by candidate profiles amid absent public polls.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Alex Pelbath" con 43%, seguido de "Mark Smith" con 39%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Dec 18, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Alex Pelbath" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mark Smith" con 39%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "SC-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.