JD Vance leads Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner odds at 19.7%, narrowly ahead of Gavin Newsom at 18.1%, with Marco Rubio third at 11.8%, capturing trader consensus on post-2024 Republican momentum from Vance's vice presidential role and Trump's administration launch. This tightness stems from high uncertainty four years out, including 2026 midterms, economic performance under Trump policies, and Democratic rebuilding after Harris's defeat, where Newsom's California governance and national profile keep him viable. Separation could arise from Vance's visibility in key policy wins like border security or tax cuts, Newsom's handling of state crises, or surprise endorsements; traders watch Trump's health, scandals, and early legislative outcomes as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
JD Vance 19.7%
Gavin Newsom 18.1%
Marco Rubio 11.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.8%
$435,527,385 Vol.
$435,527,385 Vol.

JD Vance
20%

Gavin Newsom
18%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Donald Trump
3%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

James Talarico
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Eric Trump
1%

LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 19.7%
Gavin Newsom 18.1%
Marco Rubio 11.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4.8%
$435,527,385 Vol.
$435,527,385 Vol.

JD Vance
20%

Gavin Newsom
18%

Marco Rubio
12%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%

Jon Ossoff
4%

Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris
3%

Tucker Carlson
3%

Josh Shapiro
3%

Donald Trump
3%

Pete Buttigieg
2%

JB Pritzker
2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%

Ron DeSantis
2%

Título del grupo: Andy Beshear
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Jamie Dimon
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
1%

Wes Moore
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Thomas Massie
1%

James Talarico
1%

Donald Trump Jr.
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Stephen Smith
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Eric Trump
1%

LeBron James
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
JD Vance leads Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner odds at 19.7%, narrowly ahead of Gavin Newsom at 18.1%, with Marco Rubio third at 11.8%, capturing trader consensus on post-2024 Republican momentum from Vance's vice presidential role and Trump's administration launch. This tightness stems from high uncertainty four years out, including 2026 midterms, economic performance under Trump policies, and Democratic rebuilding after Harris's defeat, where Newsom's California governance and national profile keep him viable. Separation could arise from Vance's visibility in key policy wins like border security or tax cuts, Newsom's handling of state crises, or surprise endorsements; traders watch Trump's health, scandals, and early legislative outcomes as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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