Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over__ in February?
$809,189 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
>30%
Yes
>50%
Yes
$809,189 Vol.
>30%
$348,729 Vol.
Yes
>50%
$460,459 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31-over-30 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31-over-30 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31-over-30 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volumen
$809,189Fecha de finalización
Feb 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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