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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10

Market icon
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10

Eric Chung 72%

Tim Greimel 18%

Christina Hines 8%

Tripp Adams 2.6%

Polymarket

$35,900 Vol.

Eric Chung 72%

Tim Greimel 18%

Christina Hines 8%

Tripp Adams 2.6%

Polymarket

$35,900 Vol.

Eric Chung

$2,642 Vol.

72%

Tim Greimel

$28,074 Vol.

18%

Christina Hines

$1,978 Vol.

8%

Tripp Adams

$1,961 Vol.

3%

Brian Jaye

$1,243 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability for Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising, including over $1.2 million raised in the most recent quarter reported in January, far outpacing rivals and signaling strong organizational strength in this open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid. Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds second at 17.5% on local elected experience and early momentum from his April 2025 campaign launch, while prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 7.5% bolstered by her August 2025 EMILY's List endorsement and Tripp Adams' subsequent backing after his withdrawal. With no public polls available and the April 21 filing deadline approaching, traders weigh cash on hand and endorsements as key early indicators amid a crowded primary field.

Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability for Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising, including over $1.2 million raised in the most recent quarter reported in January, far outpacing rivals and signaling strong organizational strength in this open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid. Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds second at 17.5% on local elected experience and early momentum from his April 2025 campaign launch, while prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 7.5% bolstered by her August 2025 EMILY's List endorsement and Tripp Adams' subsequent backing after his withdrawal. With no public polls available and the April 21 filing deadline approaching, traders weigh cash on hand and endorsements as key early indicators amid a crowded primary field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability for Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising, including over $1.2 million raised in the most recent quarter reported in January, far outpacing rivals and signaling strong organizational strength in this open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid. Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds second at 17.5% on local elected experience and early momentum from his April 2025 campaign launch, while prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 7.5% bolstered by her August 2025 EMILY's List endorsement and Tripp Adams' subsequent backing after his withdrawal. With no public polls available and the April 21 filing deadline approaching, traders weigh cash on hand and endorsements as key early indicators amid a crowded primary field.

Eric Chung leads trader consensus at 72% implied probability for Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising, including over $1.2 million raised in the most recent quarter reported in January, far outpacing rivals and signaling strong organizational strength in this open seat vacated by Rep. John James' gubernatorial bid. Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds second at 17.5% on local elected experience and early momentum from his April 2025 campaign launch, while prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 7.5% bolstered by her August 2025 EMILY's List endorsement and Tripp Adams' subsequent backing after his withdrawal. With no public polls available and the April 21 filing deadline approaching, traders weigh cash on hand and endorsements as key early indicators amid a crowded primary field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eric Chung" con 72%, seguido de "Tim Greimel" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" ha generado $35.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" es "Eric Chung" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tim Greimel" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-10" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.