Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-profile contest. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments, sustain the wide implied probability gap. Only a significant national partisan shift, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issue would likely narrow the margin before the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,812 Vol.
$12,812 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
$12,812 Vol.
$12,812 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$10,118 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$2,694 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-profile contest. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments, sustain the wide implied probability gap. Only a significant national partisan shift, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issue would likely narrow the margin before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$12,812Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-profile contest. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments, sustain the wide implied probability gap. Only a significant national partisan shift, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issue would likely narrow the margin before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,812Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from major forecasters, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote, while Republican nominee Dave Wallace emerged from a low-profile contest. These structural factors, combined with the district's voting history and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments, sustain the wide implied probability gap. Only a significant national partisan shift, late candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen legal issue would likely narrow the margin before the November 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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