Trader consensus on the La Paz governor race in Bolivia reflects a nail-biter between Felix Patzi and Luis Antonio Revilla, with odds hovering at 42.6% and 40.4%, fueled by recent polls from local firms like Ciesmori showing them deadlocked amid fragmented opposition from MAS splinter candidates like René Yahuasi and Santos Quispe. Patzi draws strength from rural indigenous voters via his Jallalla movement, while Revilla leverages urban support as La Paz's incumbent mayor with Sol.bo. The race stays tight due to evenly split turnout expectations and national MAS infighting spilling over. Separation could emerge from final debates, Evo Morales faction endorsements, or late scandals before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de La Paz (Bolivia)
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de La Paz (Bolivia)
Felix Patzi 50.3%
Luis Antonio Revilla 41.4%
René Yahuasi Calamani 18.2%
Richard Andrés Gómez 7.0%
$22,077 Vol.
$22,077 Vol.
Felix Patzi
43%
Luis Antonio Revilla
41%
René Yahuasi Calamani
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Fidel Chura
4%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
3%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Felix Patzi 50.3%
Luis Antonio Revilla 41.4%
René Yahuasi Calamani 18.2%
Richard Andrés Gómez 7.0%
$22,077 Vol.
$22,077 Vol.
Felix Patzi
43%
Luis Antonio Revilla
41%
René Yahuasi Calamani
10%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Fidel Chura
4%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
3%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the La Paz governor race in Bolivia reflects a nail-biter between Felix Patzi and Luis Antonio Revilla, with odds hovering at 42.6% and 40.4%, fueled by recent polls from local firms like Ciesmori showing them deadlocked amid fragmented opposition from MAS splinter candidates like René Yahuasi and Santos Quispe. Patzi draws strength from rural indigenous voters via his Jallalla movement, while Revilla leverages urban support as La Paz's incumbent mayor with Sol.bo. The race stays tight due to evenly split turnout expectations and national MAS infighting spilling over. Separation could emerge from final debates, Evo Morales faction endorsements, or late scandals before the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes