Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 42.8% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz Governor election, with Félix Patzi close behind at 34.5%, reflecting fragmented voter support amid regional divisions between urban La Paz City and rural Aymara strongholds. Recent polls from Ciesmori and other firms show the pair neck-and-neck, with Revilla's Sol.bo party drawing centrist and youth votes while Patzi leverages his prior governorship and indigenous alliances; lower-tier candidates like René Yahuasi Calamani split the MAS base further tightening the field. Dynamics hinge on turnout in highland provinces and urban moderates, kept competitive by mutual attack ads on corruption and governance. Separation could emerge from final debates, Arce administration endorsements, or late scandals before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de La Paz (Bolivia)
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de La Paz (Bolivia)
Luis Antonio Revilla 48.6%
Felix Patzi 33.6%
René Yahuasi Calamani 13.7%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.9%
$21,738 Vol.
$21,738 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
43%
Felix Patzi
34%
René Yahuasi Calamani
14%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Luis Antonio Revilla 48.6%
Felix Patzi 33.6%
René Yahuasi Calamani 13.7%
Richard Andrés Gómez 6.9%
$21,738 Vol.
$21,738 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
43%
Felix Patzi
34%
René Yahuasi Calamani
14%
Richard Andrés Gómez
7%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
1%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Santos Quispe Quispe
6%
Gualberto Cusi
1%
Rafael Quispe Flores
<1%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
<1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Germán Riveros
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Fidel Chura
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket slightly favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 42.8% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz Governor election, with Félix Patzi close behind at 34.5%, reflecting fragmented voter support amid regional divisions between urban La Paz City and rural Aymara strongholds. Recent polls from Ciesmori and other firms show the pair neck-and-neck, with Revilla's Sol.bo party drawing centrist and youth votes while Patzi leverages his prior governorship and indigenous alliances; lower-tier candidates like René Yahuasi Calamani split the MAS base further tightening the field. Dynamics hinge on turnout in highland provinces and urban moderates, kept competitive by mutual attack ads on corruption and governance. Separation could emerge from final debates, Arce administration endorsements, or late scandals before voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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