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Mundo·Israel

¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?

Market icon
Mundo·Israel

¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?

$853,892 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$853,892 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$660,433 Vol.

1%

30 de junio

$110,151 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition faces a critical March 31 deadline to pass the 2026 state budget, with failure triggering automatic Knesset dissolution under Basic Law and snap elections within 90 days—potentially as early as late June. Recent polls, including from Reuters-cited surveys, show the coalition short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in Israel's proportional representation system, amid ongoing tensions over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions. The government recently defeated an opposition dissolution bill after negotiating with haredi parties, staving off immediate votes, but trader consensus reflects high uncertainty as the Knesset nears recess and budget approval hangs in the balance. Scheduled elections remain set for October 27 absent earlier triggers.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition faces a critical March 31 deadline to pass the 2026 state budget, with failure triggering automatic Knesset dissolution under Basic Law and snap elections within 90 days—potentially as early as late June. Recent polls, including from Reuters-cited surveys, show the coalition short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in Israel's proportional representation system, amid ongoing tensions over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions. The government recently defeated an opposition dissolution bill after negotiating with haredi parties, staving off immediate votes, but trader consensus reflects high uncertainty as the Knesset nears recess and budget approval hangs in the balance. Scheduled elections remain set for October 27 absent earlier triggers.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition faces a critical March 31 deadline to pass the 2026 state budget, with failure triggering automatic Knesset dissolution under Basic Law and snap elections within 90 days—potentially as early as late June. Recent polls, including from Reuters-cited surveys, show the coalition short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in Israel's proportional representation system, amid ongoing tensions over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions. The government recently defeated an opposition dissolution bill after negotiating with haredi parties, staving off immediate votes, but trader consensus reflects high uncertainty as the Knesset nears recess and budget approval hangs in the balance. Scheduled elections remain set for October 27 absent earlier triggers.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition faces a critical March 31 deadline to pass the 2026 state budget, with failure triggering automatic Knesset dissolution under Basic Law and snap elections within 90 days—potentially as early as late June. Recent polls, including from Reuters-cited surveys, show the coalition short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in Israel's proportional representation system, amid ongoing tensions over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions. The government recently defeated an opposition dissolution bill after negotiating with haredi parties, staving off immediate votes, but trader consensus reflects high uncertainty as the Knesset nears recess and budget approval hangs in the balance. Scheduled elections remain set for October 27 absent earlier triggers.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 22%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 22¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?" ha generado $853.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 3, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?" es "30 de junio" con 22%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El parlamento israelí disuelto por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.