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IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

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IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 62%

Clint Twedt-Ball 30%

Kathy Dolter 8%

Guy Morgan 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lindsay James 62%

Clint Twedt-Ball 30%

Kathy Dolter 8%

Guy Morgan 3.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Lindsay James

$1,982 Vol.

62%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$0 Vol.

30%

Kathy Dolter

$1,069 Vol.

8%

Guy Morgan

$0 Vol.

3%

Don Primus

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

State Rep. Lindsay James leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability in the June 2 Democratic primary for open IA-02, fueled by her superior fundraising—$454,000 raised versus $333,000 for Clint Twedt-Ball as of late 2025—plus legislative experience from four terms and endorsements from EMILY's List and Iowa Teamsters, bolstering her appeal in this northeast Iowa district. Twedt-Ball trails at 30% on strong grassroots efforts, including a March 10 cost-lowering plan for housing and health care, plus visibility at recent county conventions. Finalized ballots on March 17 confirmed five candidates, with DCCC eyeing the seat as a pickup amid Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate run; Dolter, Morgan, and Primus lag on limited resources.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lindsay James" con 62%, seguido de "Clint Twedt-Ball" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 62¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Lindsay James" con 62%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Clint Twedt-Ball" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.