¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del gobierno?
4 days
$10,588,451 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3+ días
$2,901,550 Vol.
100%
3+ días
$2,901,550 Vol.
100%
4+ días
$1,767,879 Vol.
97%
4+ días
$1,767,879 Vol.
97%
5+ días
$632,859 Vol.
44%
5+ días
$632,859 Vol.
44%
6+
$1,690 Vol.
25%
6+
$1,690 Vol.
25%
7+ días
$937,782 Vol.
10%
7+ días
$937,782 Vol.
10%
10+ días
$254,536 Vol.
5%
10+ días
$254,536 Vol.
5%
14+ días
$643,392 Vol.
3%
14+ días
$643,392 Vol.
3%
30+ días
$575,983 Vol.
1%
30+ días
$575,983 Vol.
1%
Más de 60 días
$285,100 Vol.
1%
Más de 60 días
$285,100 Vol.
1%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.
The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volumen
$10,588,451Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Creado en
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del gobierno?
4 days
$10,588,451 Vol.
3+ días
$2,901,550 Vol.
100%
4+ días
$1,767,879 Vol.
97%
5+ días
$632,859 Vol.
44%
6+
$1,690 Vol.
25%
7+ días
$937,782 Vol.
10%
10+ días
$254,536 Vol.
5%
14+ días
$643,392 Vol.
3%
30+ días
$575,983 Vol.
1%
Más de 60 días
$285,100 Vol.
1%
Acerca de
Volumen
$10,588,451Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Creado en
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.