Market icon

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del gobierno?

4 days

$9,536,119 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,536,119
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government is shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. If no qualifying shutdown begins by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el cierre del gobierno?

4 days

$9,536,119 Vol.

3+ días

$2,460,034 Vol.

100%

4+ días

$1,473,552 Vol.

91%

5+ días

$526,165 Vol.

47%

7+ días

$861,992 Vol.

12%

10+ días

$205,220 Vol.

8%

14+ días

$584,890 Vol.

5%

30+ días

$559,380 Vol.

2%

Más de 60 días

$275,754 Vol.

1%

Acerca de

Volumen
$9,536,119
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Creado en
Jan 30, 2026, 12:55 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.