Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C under persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability on 11°C or higher, 26% on exactly 10°C, and 22.5% on 9°C. This positioning follows a sharp cool-down from early-week highs near 19°C on April 5, as a northerly airflow ushers in cooler continental air masses, limiting solar heating and diurnal temperature rises typical in early spring. Climatological norms for early April hover 11–13°C, but overcast conditions align with the tighter clustering; uncertainty persists in model spreads, with new runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of resolution via official IMGW observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 8 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 8 de abril?
10°C 29%
11°C o más 29%
9°C 24%
8°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
1°C o menos
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
2%
6°C
5%
7°C
7%
8°C
14%
9°C
24%
10°C
29%
11°C o más
29%
10°C 29%
11°C o más 29%
9°C 24%
8°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
1°C o menos
$429 Vol.
1%
2°C
$425 Vol.
1%
3°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$548 Vol.
1%
5°C
$857 Vol.
2%
6°C
$109 Vol.
5%
7°C
$383 Vol.
7%
8°C
$57 Vol.
14%
9°C
$46 Vol.
24%
10°C
$117 Vol.
29%
11°C o más
$79 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C under persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability on 11°C or higher, 26% on exactly 10°C, and 22.5% on 9°C. This positioning follows a sharp cool-down from early-week highs near 19°C on April 5, as a northerly airflow ushers in cooler continental air masses, limiting solar heating and diurnal temperature rises typical in early spring. Climatological norms for early April hover 11–13°C, but overcast conditions align with the tighter clustering; uncertainty persists in model spreads, with new runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of resolution via official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$3,493Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C under persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability on 11°C or higher, 26% on exactly 10°C, and 22.5% on 9°C. This positioning follows a sharp cool-down from early-week highs near 19°C on April 5, as a northerly airflow ushers in cooler continental air masses, limiting solar heating and diurnal temperature rises typical in early spring. Climatological norms for early April hover 11–13°C, but overcast conditions align with the tighter clustering; uncertainty persists in model spreads, with new runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of resolution via official IMGW observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,493Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C under persistent cloud cover and possible light drizzle, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability on 11°C or higher, 26% on exactly 10°C, and 22.5% on 9°C. This positioning follows a sharp cool-down from early-week highs near 19°C on April 5, as a northerly airflow ushers in cooler continental air masses, limiting solar heating and diurnal temperature rises typical in early spring. Climatological norms for early April hover 11–13°C, but overcast conditions align with the tighter clustering; uncertainty persists in model spreads, with new runs expected daily from NOAA and ECMWF ahead of resolution via official IMGW observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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