Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 19°C, with daytime highs peaking amid mild spring conditions influenced by a stable Mediterranean high-pressure system suppressing warmer air advection. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late March, where average highs hover around 19–21°C based on 30-year NOAA normals, and recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS accurately forecasted subdued warming due to light northerly winds and coastal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to official IMS records. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over measurement sites, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in urban settings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 25 de marzo?
19°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$137,857 Vol.
$137,857 Vol.
14°C o menos
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o más
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C o menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$137,857 Vol.
$137,857 Vol.
14°C o menos
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Sí
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 19°C, with daytime highs peaking amid mild spring conditions influenced by a stable Mediterranean high-pressure system suppressing warmer air advection. This aligns with seasonal climatology for late March, where average highs hover around 19–21°C based on 30-year NOAA normals, and recent model outputs from ECMWF and GFS accurately forecasted subdued warming due to light northerly winds and coastal cloud cover. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to official IMS records. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from station audits or disputes over measurement sites, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5°C in urban settings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes