Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs 33°C (82% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest daily forecast of fair conditions with maximums reaching 33°C during the March inter-monsoon period, characterized by light winds and high humidity that limit convective cooling. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing at 32–33°C over the past week, consistent with equatorial climatology and urban heat island amplification, where averages hover around 31–33°C but rarely exceed 34°C without prolonged heat buildup. Model ensembles indicate subdued solar insolation and sea breeze influences capping peaks, relegating 34°C (16.5%) to a minority view amid low uncertainty. NEA's evening update could refine these trader-aligned odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 85%
34°C 14%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$92,710 Vol.
$92,710 Vol.
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
85%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 85%
34°C 14%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$92,710 Vol.
$92,710 Vol.
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
85%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs 33°C (82% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest daily forecast of fair conditions with maximums reaching 33°C during the March inter-monsoon period, characterized by light winds and high humidity that limit convective cooling. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing at 32–33°C over the past week, consistent with equatorial climatology and urban heat island amplification, where averages hover around 31–33°C but rarely exceed 34°C without prolonged heat buildup. Model ensembles indicate subdued solar insolation and sea breeze influences capping peaks, relegating 34°C (16.5%) to a minority view amid low uncertainty. NEA's evening update could refine these trader-aligned odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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