Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29 at 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with 27°C leading at 33% implied probability due to peak afternoon projections around 2–4 p.m. local time, while moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea—typically strengthening post-noon—introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 26°C or allowing brief spikes to 28°C if onshore flow delays. Late March climatology averages highs near 24°C, but recent warmer-than-normal patterns add upside risk; final resolution awaits official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, with hourly updates expected throughout the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
27°C 33%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
29°C 10%
$32,836 Vol.
$32,836 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
33%
28°C
21%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 33%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
29°C 10%
$32,836 Vol.
$32,836 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
21°C or below
$4,270 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,376 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,170 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,303 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,595 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,444 Vol.
27%
27°C
$1,921 Vol.
33%
28°C
$1,500 Vol.
21%
29°C
$1,732 Vol.
10%
30°C
$2,255 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$3,366 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29 at 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with 27°C leading at 33% implied probability due to peak afternoon projections around 2–4 p.m. local time, while moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea—typically strengthening post-noon—introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 26°C or allowing brief spikes to 28°C if onshore flow delays. Late March climatology averages highs near 24°C, but recent warmer-than-normal patterns add upside risk; final resolution awaits official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, with hourly updates expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Volumen
$32,836Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29 at 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with 27°C leading at 33% implied probability due to peak afternoon projections around 2–4 p.m. local time, while moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea—typically strengthening post-noon—introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 26°C or allowing brief spikes to 28°C if onshore flow delays. Late March climatology averages highs near 24°C, but recent warmer-than-normal patterns add upside risk; final resolution awaits official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, with hourly updates expected throughout the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$32,836Fecha de finalización
Mar 29, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from global ensembles, project Shenzhen's highest temperature on March 29 at 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime solar heating. Trader consensus reflects this tight forecast cluster, with 27°C leading at 33% implied probability due to peak afternoon projections around 2–4 p.m. local time, while moderating sea breezes from the South China Sea—typically strengthening post-noon—introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks at 26°C or allowing brief spikes to 28°C if onshore flow delays. Late March climatology averages highs near 24°C, but recent warmer-than-normal patterns add upside risk; final resolution awaits official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station, with hourly updates expected throughout the day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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