Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm Seattle's highest temperature on March 25 reached 51°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the primary station for such records, aligning precisely with the 99.7% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This outcome reflects a typical cool Pacific Northwest spring day with partly sunny skies, light winds, and highs in the low 50s forecasted by NOAA models amid lingering marine layer influences. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, has locked in on this verified measurement, with negligible odds elsewhere due to consistent hourly data from automated stations. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from the NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final resolution awaits official archiving, expected within days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 99.7%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$107,473 Vol.
$107,473 Vol.
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 99.7%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$107,473 Vol.
$107,473 Vol.
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm Seattle's highest temperature on March 25 reached 51°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the primary station for such records, aligning precisely with the 99.7% market-implied probability for the 50-51°F bin. This outcome reflects a typical cool Pacific Northwest spring day with partly sunny skies, light winds, and highs in the low 50s forecasted by NOAA models amid lingering marine layer influences. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, has locked in on this verified measurement, with negligible odds elsewhere due to consistent hourly data from automated stations. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from the NWS, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Final resolution awaits official archiving, expected within days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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