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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 34%

50-51°F 22%

54-55°F 13%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket

$12,381 Vol.

52-53°F 34%

50-51°F 22%

54-55°F 13%

48-49°F 13%

Polymarket

$12,381 Vol.

47°F or below

$2,680 Vol.

11%

48-49°F

$819 Vol.

13%

50-51°F

$2,172 Vol.

22%

52-53°F

$1,105 Vol.

34%

54-55°F

$1,686 Vol.

13%

56-57°F

$519 Vol.

6%

58-59°F

$817 Vol.

2%

60-61°F

$1,022 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$530 Vol.

1%

64-65°F

$527 Vol.

<1%

66°F or higher

$762 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City Central Park at 34% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing model consensus for a rebound to seasonal norms following today's cold frontal passage that capped highs around 43°F. High pressure ridges eastward with mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds expected Sunday, promoting daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation amid low-level mixing, though residual moisture could introduce partial cloudiness capping peaks. The broad probability distribution underscores springtime uncertainty, with key variables including boundary layer stability, exact timing of warming aloft, and minor forecast model spreads (GFS/ECMWF differing by 2-4°F). Updated 00Z ensembles overnight and morning soundings will refine odds before resolution based on official observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City Central Park at 34% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing model consensus for a rebound to seasonal norms following today's cold frontal passage that capped highs around 43°F. High pressure ridges eastward with mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds expected Sunday, promoting daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation amid low-level mixing, though residual moisture could introduce partial cloudiness capping peaks. The broad probability distribution underscores springtime uncertainty, with key variables including boundary layer stability, exact timing of warming aloft, and minor forecast model spreads (GFS/ECMWF differing by 2-4°F). Updated 00Z ensembles overnight and morning soundings will refine odds before resolution based on official observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City Central Park at 34% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing model consensus for a rebound to seasonal norms following today's cold frontal passage that capped highs around 43°F. High pressure ridges eastward with mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds expected Sunday, promoting daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation amid low-level mixing, though residual moisture could introduce partial cloudiness capping peaks. The broad probability distribution underscores springtime uncertainty, with key variables including boundary layer stability, exact timing of warming aloft, and minor forecast model spreads (GFS/ECMWF differing by 2-4°F). Updated 00Z ensembles overnight and morning soundings will refine odds before resolution based on official observations.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City Central Park at 34% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing model consensus for a rebound to seasonal norms following today's cold frontal passage that capped highs around 43°F. High pressure ridges eastward with mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds expected Sunday, promoting daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation amid low-level mixing, though residual moisture could introduce partial cloudiness capping peaks. The broad probability distribution underscores springtime uncertainty, with key variables including boundary layer stability, exact timing of warming aloft, and minor forecast model spreads (GFS/ECMWF differing by 2-4°F). Updated 00Z ensembles overnight and morning soundings will refine odds before resolution based on official observations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "52-53°F" con 34%, seguido de "50-51°F" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" ha generado $12.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" es "52-53°F" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "50-51°F" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.