Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for NYC's highest temperature on April 1 falling in the 78-79°F range, backed by confirmed observational data from the National Weather Service's Central Park station—the official record for Manhattan highs. This reflects direct thermometer readings amid a potent high-pressure ridge steering warm, southerly air advection northward, combined with clear skies, low humidity, and light winds that enhanced daytime surface heating to push temperatures into the upper 70s. Unseasonably warm for early April, when climatological averages hover around 56°F, the outcome aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Realistic challenges would require rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions by the NWS, with final daily climate summary expected within days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$331,146 Vol.
$331,146 Vol.
1 abr 2026
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$331,146 Vol.
$331,146 Vol.
1 abr 2026
78-79°F
$42,798 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$53,638 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$38,173 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$13,434 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$7,436 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$16,439 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for NYC's highest temperature on April 1 falling in the 78-79°F range, backed by confirmed observational data from the National Weather Service's Central Park station—the official record for Manhattan highs. This reflects direct thermometer readings amid a potent high-pressure ridge steering warm, southerly air advection northward, combined with clear skies, low humidity, and light winds that enhanced daytime surface heating to push temperatures into the upper 70s. Unseasonably warm for early April, when climatological averages hover around 56°F, the outcome aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Realistic challenges would require rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions by the NWS, with final daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volumen
$331,146Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for NYC's highest temperature on April 1 falling in the 78-79°F range, backed by confirmed observational data from the National Weather Service's Central Park station—the official record for Manhattan highs. This reflects direct thermometer readings amid a potent high-pressure ridge steering warm, southerly air advection northward, combined with clear skies, low humidity, and light winds that enhanced daytime surface heating to push temperatures into the upper 70s. Unseasonably warm for early April, when climatological averages hover around 56°F, the outcome aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Realistic challenges would require rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions by the NWS, with final daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$331,146Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for NYC's highest temperature on April 1 falling in the 78-79°F range, backed by confirmed observational data from the National Weather Service's Central Park station—the official record for Manhattan highs. This reflects direct thermometer readings amid a potent high-pressure ridge steering warm, southerly air advection northward, combined with clear skies, low humidity, and light winds that enhanced daytime surface heating to push temperatures into the upper 70s. Unseasonably warm for early April, when climatological averages hover around 56°F, the outcome aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Realistic challenges would require rare instrument recalibration or data audit revisions by the NWS, with final daily climate summary expected within days.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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