Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of exactly 17°C in Milan on March 17, driven by official meteorological observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia stations, which recorded a peak of 17.2°C rounded to 17°C per standard resolution criteria. Mid-March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 13-15°C amid mild anticyclonic conditions and southerly airflow boosting temperatures slightly above seasonal norms. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converged on 16-18°C ranges, aligning with the outcome. Realistic challenges include post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or microclimate discrepancies, though unlikely given synchronized readings across verified sources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 17 de marzo?
17°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$2,132 Vol.
$2,132 Vol.
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sí
18°C o más
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$2,132 Vol.
$2,132 Vol.
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sí
18°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 16, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of exactly 17°C in Milan on March 17, driven by official meteorological observations from Milan Linate Airport and ARPA Lombardia stations, which recorded a peak of 17.2°C rounded to 17°C per standard resolution criteria. Mid-March climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 13-15°C amid mild anticyclonic conditions and southerly airflow boosting temperatures slightly above seasonal norms. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converged on 16-18°C ranges, aligning with the outcome. Realistic challenges include post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or microclimate discrepancies, though unlikely given synchronized readings across verified sources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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