Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 36°C (48.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, with 35°C (34.5%) close behind, driven by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecast models projecting daytime peaks of 35-37°C amid clear skies and subsiding westerly winds. Recent observational data from Lucknow's Amausi station shows March 24-25 maxima near 35°C, fueled by high-pressure dominance suppressing clouds and enhancing solar insolation, elevating readings above the late-March climatological average of 32-34°C. Ensemble forecasts indicate low uncertainty with negligible precipitation risk (<5%), though localized urban heat islands could nudge toward 37°C (10.2%). Resolution hinges on official IMD readings from the Colvin station by day's end March 26.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
36°C 48%
35°C 32%
37°C 12.2%
34°C or below 7.2%
$77,529 Vol.
$77,529 Vol.
34°C or below
7%
35°C
32%
36°C
48%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 48%
35°C 32%
37°C 12.2%
34°C or below 7.2%
$77,529 Vol.
$77,529 Vol.
34°C or below
7%
35°C
32%
36°C
48%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 36°C (48.5% implied probability) as the leading outcome for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 26, with 35°C (34.5%) close behind, driven by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest forecast models projecting daytime peaks of 35-37°C amid clear skies and subsiding westerly winds. Recent observational data from Lucknow's Amausi station shows March 24-25 maxima near 35°C, fueled by high-pressure dominance suppressing clouds and enhancing solar insolation, elevating readings above the late-March climatological average of 32-34°C. Ensemble forecasts indicate low uncertainty with negligible precipitation risk (<5%), though localized urban heat islands could nudge toward 37°C (10.2%). Resolution hinges on official IMD readings from the Colvin station by day's end March 26.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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