Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-83°F highs for Denver on March 26, reflecting the latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models showing a strong upper-level ridge building over the central Rockies, promoting downslope Chinook winds that could push temperatures into record territory for late March. The GFS and ECMWF ensembles average 78-82°F, with higher-member outliers reaching 85°F, but uncertainty persists from potential high cloud cover or a slight ridge erosion, differentiating the tight 80-81°F (23%) and 82-83°F (26.5%) leads. Historical March norms hover near 55°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by persistent La Niña patterns favoring dry, mild conditions. Watch for tomorrow's 00Z model updates, which could refine intensification potential before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 17.0%
$45,028 Vol.
$45,028 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
76-77°F 18%
74-75°F 17.0%
$45,028 Vol.
$45,028 Vol.
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-83°F highs for Denver on March 26, reflecting the latest National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models showing a strong upper-level ridge building over the central Rockies, promoting downslope Chinook winds that could push temperatures into record territory for late March. The GFS and ECMWF ensembles average 78-82°F, with higher-member outliers reaching 85°F, but uncertainty persists from potential high cloud cover or a slight ridge erosion, differentiating the tight 80-81°F (23%) and 82-83°F (26.5%) leads. Historical March norms hover near 55°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth driven by persistent La Niña patterns favoring dry, mild conditions. Watch for tomorrow's 00Z model updates, which could refine intensification potential before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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