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Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

48-49°F 34%

46-47°F 22%

50-51°F 22%

44-45°F 13%

Polymarket

$58,913 Vol.

48-49°F 34%

46-47°F 22%

50-51°F 22%

44-45°F 13%

Polymarket

$58,913 Vol.

43°F or below

$8,019 Vol.

4%

44-45°F

$3,201 Vol.

13%

46-47°F

$3,020 Vol.

22%

48-49°F

$2,926 Vol.

34%

50-51°F

$2,626 Vol.

22%

52-53°F

$3,777 Vol.

5%

54-55°F

$3,832 Vol.

2%

56-57°F

$4,517 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$5,974 Vol.

<1%

60-61°F

$2,807 Vol.

<1%

62°F or higher

$18,261 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 46-51°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on March 28, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 49°F following a cold front that capped March 27 at 38°F amid gusty north-northwest winds. Ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows convergence in the upper 40s, though short-range HRRR runs and Canadian GEM outliers suggest potential for low-50s peaks or rare warmer spikes if mixing enhances boundary layer warming. Differentiating factors include residual cloud breaks allowing greater insolation versus lingering thin overcast, plus subtle wind deceleration from 10-15 mph NNW, with late-March climatological highs averaging 48°F providing context. Hourly KORD observations today will sharpen resolution amid typical diurnal uncertainty.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 46-51°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on March 28, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 49°F following a cold front that capped March 27 at 38°F amid gusty north-northwest winds. Ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows convergence in the upper 40s, though short-range HRRR runs and Canadian GEM outliers suggest potential for low-50s peaks or rare warmer spikes if mixing enhances boundary layer warming. Differentiating factors include residual cloud breaks allowing greater insolation versus lingering thin overcast, plus subtle wind deceleration from 10-15 mph NNW, with late-March climatological highs averaging 48°F providing context. Hourly KORD observations today will sharpen resolution amid typical diurnal uncertainty.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 46-51°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on March 28, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 49°F following a cold front that capped March 27 at 38°F amid gusty north-northwest winds. Ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows convergence in the upper 40s, though short-range HRRR runs and Canadian GEM outliers suggest potential for low-50s peaks or rare warmer spikes if mixing enhances boundary layer warming. Differentiating factors include residual cloud breaks allowing greater insolation versus lingering thin overcast, plus subtle wind deceleration from 10-15 mph NNW, with late-March climatological highs averaging 48°F providing context. Hourly KORD observations today will sharpen resolution amid typical diurnal uncertainty.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 46-51°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on March 28, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and highs near 49°F following a cold front that capped March 27 at 38°F amid gusty north-northwest winds. Ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows convergence in the upper 40s, though short-range HRRR runs and Canadian GEM outliers suggest potential for low-50s peaks or rare warmer spikes if mixing enhances boundary layer warming. Differentiating factors include residual cloud breaks allowing greater insolation versus lingering thin overcast, plus subtle wind deceleration from 10-15 mph NNW, with late-March climatological highs averaging 48°F providing context. Hourly KORD observations today will sharpen resolution amid typical diurnal uncertainty.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "48-49°F" con 34%, seguido de "46-47°F" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 34¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" ha generado $58.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" es "48-49°F" con 34%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 34% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "46-47°F" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.