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Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

30°C 25%

29°C 24%

31°C 18%

32°C 13%

Polymarket

$27,101 Vol.

30°C 25%

29°C 24%

31°C 18%

32°C 13%

Polymarket

$27,101 Vol.

23°C or below

$4,084 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$2,416 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$2,008 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$3,600 Vol.

1%

27°C

$1,725 Vol.

4%

28°C

$1,648 Vol.

11%

29°C

$2,167 Vol.

24%

30°C

$2,170 Vol.

25%

31°C

$1,653 Vol.

18%

32°C

$2,425 Vol.

13%

33°C or higher

$3,216 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a consensus peak temperature near 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, reflecting trader sentiment with 30°C at 26% implied probability edging out 29°C (23.5%) and 31°C (17.5%), amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty. Differentiating factors include model spread—some ensemble members peak at 31°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies enhancing solar heating, while others forecast 29°C if afternoon sea breezes or convective clouds moderate urban heat island effects. Above-normal late-March warmth stems from a blocking ridge over southern South America, deviating from historical averages around 24–26°C; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations from central stations like Aeroparque, with updates expected overnight.

Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a consensus peak temperature near 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, reflecting trader sentiment with 30°C at 26% implied probability edging out 29°C (23.5%) and 31°C (17.5%), amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty. Differentiating factors include model spread—some ensemble members peak at 31°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies enhancing solar heating, while others forecast 29°C if afternoon sea breezes or convective clouds moderate urban heat island effects. Above-normal late-March warmth stems from a blocking ridge over southern South America, deviating from historical averages around 24–26°C; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations from central stations like Aeroparque, with updates expected overnight.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a consensus peak temperature near 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, reflecting trader sentiment with 30°C at 26% implied probability edging out 29°C (23.5%) and 31°C (17.5%), amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty. Differentiating factors include model spread—some ensemble members peak at 31°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies enhancing solar heating, while others forecast 29°C if afternoon sea breezes or convective clouds moderate urban heat island effects. Above-normal late-March warmth stems from a blocking ridge over southern South America, deviating from historical averages around 24–26°C; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations from central stations like Aeroparque, with updates expected overnight.

Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project a consensus peak temperature near 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 29, reflecting trader sentiment with 30°C at 26% implied probability edging out 29°C (23.5%) and 31°C (17.5%), amid tight clustering that underscores short-term forecast uncertainty. Differentiating factors include model spread—some ensemble members peak at 31°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies enhancing solar heating, while others forecast 29°C if afternoon sea breezes or convective clouds moderate urban heat island effects. Above-normal late-March warmth stems from a blocking ridge over southern South America, deviating from historical averages around 24–26°C; final resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations from central stations like Aeroparque, with updates expected overnight.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30°C" con 25%, seguido de "29°C" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" ha generado $27.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" es "30°C" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "29°C" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.