**Official measurements from Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on March 26 hit exactly 10°C**, recorded at key stations like Esenboğa Airport during a cool spell with partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a passing frontal boundary that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast models showing limited solar insolation and near-normal March conditions, where historical highs average 12-14°C but variability from weather patterns often yields cooler outliers. Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability on this outcome, backed by verified observational data now available for market resolution. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from quality control or station discrepancies—remain improbable without conflicting reports from international verifiers like NOAA. Traders await final MGM certification, typically within 24-48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 26?
10°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$191,982 Vol.
$191,982 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
10°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$191,982 Vol.
$191,982 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official measurements from Turkey's State Meteorological Service (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on March 26 hit exactly 10°C**, recorded at key stations like Esenboğa Airport during a cool spell with partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and a passing frontal boundary that capped daytime heating. This aligns with recent forecast models showing limited solar insolation and near-normal March conditions, where historical highs average 12-14°C but variability from weather patterns often yields cooler outliers. Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability on this outcome, backed by verified observational data now available for market resolution. Realistic challenges—such as rare data revisions from quality control or station discrepancies—remain improbable without conflicting reports from international verifiers like NOAA. Traders await final MGM certification, typically within 24-48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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