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Elecciones·Primarias

GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Nikema Williams 93%

Victor Hill 3.1%

Andres Castro 3.0%

Arnetress Beatty 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Nikema Williams 93%

Victor Hill 3.1%

Andres Castro 3.0%

Arnetress Beatty 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Nikema Williams

$2,415 Vol.

93%

Victor Hill

$545 Vol.

3%

Andres Castro

$0 Vol.

3%

Arnetress Beatty

$0 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Incumbent Rep. Nikema Williams commands 93% trader consensus in the GA-05 Democratic primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, reflecting her entrenched incumbency advantage in the safely Democratic Atlanta district, massive fundraising lead with $375,000 in receipts and $52,000 cash on hand through late 2025 versus challenger Arnetress Beatty's $6,000, and recent high-profile support including a March 14 fundraiser with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Challengers Andres Castro and Victor Hill, the latter burdened by ongoing civil rights convictions and a January bankruptcy filing, have withdrawn or been disqualified post-qualifying deadline on March 6, leaving a thin field. While a runoff looms June 16 absent a majority, upset scenarios like a Williams scandal or unexpected turnout surge remain remote given historical incumbent reelection rates exceeding 90% in similar primaries.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nikema Williams" con 93%, seguido de "Victor Hill" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Nikema Williams" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Victor Hill" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "GA-05 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.