Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—along with the district's D+4 partisan lean underpin the 62% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner in FL-22. Frankel, who secured reelection by 10 points in 2024 despite Kamala Harris's narrower 5.5-point district margin, faces token Democratic primary challengers like Victoria Doyle ahead of the August 18 primary. Republicans field a fragmented six-candidate primary led by Deborah Adeimy and Anna Medvedeva, but lack a standout contender in this Solid Democratic-rated seat per Cook Political Report. No recent polling or major developments have shifted dynamics, with speculation on Frankel's age (76) as the primary uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de la Cámara FL-22
Ganador de la elección de la Cámara FL-22
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
32%
Partido Demócrata
59%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Partido Republicano
$0 Vol.
32%
Partido Demócrata
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—along with the district's D+4 partisan lean underpin the 62% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner in FL-22. Frankel, who secured reelection by 10 points in 2024 despite Kamala Harris's narrower 5.5-point district margin, faces token Democratic primary challengers like Victoria Doyle ahead of the August 18 primary. Republicans field a fragmented six-candidate primary led by Deborah Adeimy and Anna Medvedeva, but lack a standout contender in this Solid Democratic-rated seat per Cook Political Report. No recent polling or major developments have shifted dynamics, with speculation on Frankel's age (76) as the primary uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—along with the district's D+4 partisan lean underpin the 62% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner in FL-22. Frankel, who secured reelection by 10 points in 2024 despite Kamala Harris's narrower 5.5-point district margin, faces token Democratic primary challengers like Victoria Doyle ahead of the August 18 primary. Republicans field a fragmented six-candidate primary led by Deborah Adeimy and Anna Medvedeva, but lack a standout contender in this Solid Democratic-rated seat per Cook Political Report. No recent polling or major developments have shifted dynamics, with speculation on Frankel's age (76) as the primary uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel's dominant fundraising—over $1.4 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—along with the district's D+4 partisan lean underpin the 62% trader consensus for a Democratic House winner in FL-22. Frankel, who secured reelection by 10 points in 2024 despite Kamala Harris's narrower 5.5-point district margin, faces token Democratic primary challengers like Victoria Doyle ahead of the August 18 primary. Republicans field a fragmented six-candidate primary led by Deborah Adeimy and Anna Medvedeva, but lack a standout contender in this Solid Democratic-rated seat per Cook Political Report. No recent polling or major developments have shifted dynamics, with speculation on Frankel's age (76) as the primary uncertainty before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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