Florida's 22nd congressional district features an incumbent Democratic representative facing mid-decade redistricting that altered its boundaries from Broward County northward, creating a more competitive environment reflected in mixed forecaster ratings ranging from solid Democratic to lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 57.5% implied probability largely because the sitting member maintains strong name recognition and fundraising edges ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, while the Republican Party holds 35.5% odds amid broader national midterm dynamics and recent map adjustments proposed by state leadership. Upcoming candidate filing deadlines and primary contests will likely provide further clarity on nominee strength and voter turnout patterns in this swing district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de la Cámara FL-22
Ganador de la elección de la Cámara FL-22
$14,220 Vol.
$14,220 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
56%
Partido Republicano
40%
$14,220 Vol.
$14,220 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,865 Vol.
56%
Partido Republicano
$7,355 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district features an incumbent Democratic representative facing mid-decade redistricting that altered its boundaries from Broward County northward, creating a more competitive environment reflected in mixed forecaster ratings ranging from solid Democratic to lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 57.5% implied probability largely because the sitting member maintains strong name recognition and fundraising edges ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, while the Republican Party holds 35.5% odds amid broader national midterm dynamics and recent map adjustments proposed by state leadership. Upcoming candidate filing deadlines and primary contests will likely provide further clarity on nominee strength and voter turnout patterns in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$14,220Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district features an incumbent Democratic representative facing mid-decade redistricting that altered its boundaries from Broward County northward, creating a more competitive environment reflected in mixed forecaster ratings ranging from solid Democratic to lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 57.5% implied probability largely because the sitting member maintains strong name recognition and fundraising edges ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, while the Republican Party holds 35.5% odds amid broader national midterm dynamics and recent map adjustments proposed by state leadership. Upcoming candidate filing deadlines and primary contests will likely provide further clarity on nominee strength and voter turnout patterns in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,220Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district features an incumbent Democratic representative facing mid-decade redistricting that altered its boundaries from Broward County northward, creating a more competitive environment reflected in mixed forecaster ratings ranging from solid Democratic to lean Republican. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 57.5% implied probability largely because the sitting member maintains strong name recognition and fundraising edges ahead of the August 18 primary and November 3 general election, while the Republican Party holds 35.5% odds amid broader national midterm dynamics and recent map adjustments proposed by state leadership. Upcoming candidate filing deadlines and primary contests will likely provide further clarity on nominee strength and voter turnout patterns in this swing district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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