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Política·Venezuela

¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Venezuela

¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?

Sí

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$4,406 Vol.

Sí

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$4,406 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no criminal charges will emerge by March 31 for the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander who led the January 2026 raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas. Journalist Seth Harp's X post sharing the commander's publicly available name and photo drew swift backlash, including a House Oversight Committee subpoena approved January 8 by Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and calls for DOJ investigation, alongside a bipartisan bill to criminalize disclosing special operations personnel details. However, First Amendment defenses, the information's prior public status, and lack of DOJ action over three months—amid competing priorities like Maduro's narco-terrorism prosecution—cemented trader confidence in "No." Only an unprecedented late indictment could shift odds, though none materialized before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,406
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that no criminal charges will emerge by March 31 for the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander who led the January 2026 raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in Caracas. Journalist Seth Harp's X post sharing the commander's publicly available name and photo drew swift backlash, including a House Oversight Committee subpoena approved January 8 by Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and calls for DOJ investigation, alongside a bipartisan bill to criminalize disclosing special operations personnel details. However, First Amendment defenses, the information's prior public status, and lack of DOJ action over three months—amid competing priorities like Maduro's narco-terrorism prosecution—cemented trader confidence in "No." Only an unprecedented late indictment could shift odds, though none materialized before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,406
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Alguien ha sido acusado de revelar información personal del comandante de la Fuerza Delta encargado de capturar a Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 8, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Alguien ha sido acusado de revelar información personal del comandante de la Fuerza Delta encargado de capturar a Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Alguien acusado de doxing al comandante de la Fuerza Delta que dirigía la captura de Maduro antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.