Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against another US sovereign debt downgrade before 2027, reflecting rating agencies' stable outlooks amid resilient economic growth offsetting fiscal deterioration. Moody's Aa1, S&P's AA+, and Fitch's AA+ ratings have held firm since the last cut in May 2025, with agencies citing steady GDP expansion and subdued inflation pressures despite CBO-projected federal deficits near $1.9 trillion in fiscal 2026 and debt-to-GDP climbing from 101% by year-end to over 120% by 2027. Absent debt ceiling brinkmanship or sharper deficit spikes, Treasuries retain safe-haven status at low yields. Key catalysts include potential late-2026 debt limit deadlines and post-midterm fiscal policy shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?
¿Otra rebaja de la deuda de EE. UU. antes de 2027?
Sí
$10,086 Vol.
$10,086 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$10,086 Vol.
$10,086 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against another US sovereign debt downgrade before 2027, reflecting rating agencies' stable outlooks amid resilient economic growth offsetting fiscal deterioration. Moody's Aa1, S&P's AA+, and Fitch's AA+ ratings have held firm since the last cut in May 2025, with agencies citing steady GDP expansion and subdued inflation pressures despite CBO-projected federal deficits near $1.9 trillion in fiscal 2026 and debt-to-GDP climbing from 101% by year-end to over 120% by 2027. Absent debt ceiling brinkmanship or sharper deficit spikes, Treasuries retain safe-haven status at low yields. Key catalysts include potential late-2026 debt limit deadlines and post-midterm fiscal policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Volumen
$10,086Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against another US sovereign debt downgrade before 2027, reflecting rating agencies' stable outlooks amid resilient economic growth offsetting fiscal deterioration. Moody's Aa1, S&P's AA+, and Fitch's AA+ ratings have held firm since the last cut in May 2025, with agencies citing steady GDP expansion and subdued inflation pressures despite CBO-projected federal deficits near $1.9 trillion in fiscal 2026 and debt-to-GDP climbing from 101% by year-end to over 120% by 2027. Absent debt ceiling brinkmanship or sharper deficit spikes, Treasuries retain safe-haven status at low yields. Key catalysts include potential late-2026 debt limit deadlines and post-midterm fiscal policy shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$10,086Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83% implied probability against another US sovereign debt downgrade before 2027, reflecting rating agencies' stable outlooks amid resilient economic growth offsetting fiscal deterioration. Moody's Aa1, S&P's AA+, and Fitch's AA+ ratings have held firm since the last cut in May 2025, with agencies citing steady GDP expansion and subdued inflation pressures despite CBO-projected federal deficits near $1.9 trillion in fiscal 2026 and debt-to-GDP climbing from 101% by year-end to over 120% by 2027. Absent debt ceiling brinkmanship or sharper deficit spikes, Treasuries retain safe-haven status at low yields. Key catalysts include potential late-2026 debt limit deadlines and post-midterm fiscal policy shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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