David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary with a narrow plurality, defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 0.4 percentage points amid a fragmented field that included Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Late shifts in voter support, endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers, and Hong's progressive positioning helped Crowley overcome earlier polling deficits after other contenders like Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and Mandela Barnes exited the race. The market's overwhelming consensus on a Crowley victory reflects official results and the absence of viable challenges to certification, while low probabilities on specific Hong margin bands or a Barnes win align with the confirmed outcome and timeline. Residual uncertainty in tight races could still hinge on final vote tabulation or procedural disputes before full resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCrowley gana 99.3%
Hong 30%+ <1%
Hong 25–30% <1%
Hong 20–25% <1%
$212,885 Vol.
$212,885 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Hong 30%+
<1%
Hong 25–30%
<1%
Hong 20–25%
<1%
Hong 15–20%
<1%
Hong 10–15%
<1%
Hong 5–10%
<1%
Hong <5%
<1%
Crowley gana
99%
Barnes gana
<1%
Crowley gana 99.3%
Hong 30%+ <1%
Hong 25–30% <1%
Hong 20–25% <1%
$212,885 Vol.
$212,885 Vol.
11 ago 2026
Hong 30%+
$80,326 Vol.
<1%
Hong 25–30%
$43,531 Vol.
<1%
Hong 20–25%
$8,559 Vol.
<1%
Hong 15–20%
$4,911 Vol.
<1%
Hong 10–15%
$8,562 Vol.
<1%
Hong 5–10%
$29,093 Vol.
<1%
Hong <5%
$17,889 Vol.
<1%
Crowley gana
$18,112 Vol.
99%
Barnes gana
$1,903 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary with a narrow plurality, defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 0.4 percentage points amid a fragmented field that included Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Late shifts in voter support, endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers, and Hong's progressive positioning helped Crowley overcome earlier polling deficits after other contenders like Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and Mandela Barnes exited the race. The market's overwhelming consensus on a Crowley victory reflects official results and the absence of viable challenges to certification, while low probabilities on specific Hong margin bands or a Barnes win align with the confirmed outcome and timeline. Residual uncertainty in tight races could still hinge on final vote tabulation or procedural disputes before full resolution.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ET
Volumen
$212,885Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary with a narrow plurality, defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 0.4 percentage points amid a fragmented field that included Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Late shifts in voter support, endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers, and Hong's progressive positioning helped Crowley overcome earlier polling deficits after other contenders like Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and Mandela Barnes exited the race. The market's overwhelming consensus on a Crowley victory reflects official results and the absence of viable challenges to certification, while low probabilities on specific Hong margin bands or a Barnes win align with the confirmed outcome and timeline. Residual uncertainty in tight races could still hinge on final vote tabulation or procedural disputes before full resolution.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$212,885Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 9:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11 primary with a narrow plurality, defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 0.4 percentage points amid a fragmented field that included Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan. Late shifts in voter support, endorsements from Gov. Tony Evers, and Hong's progressive positioning helped Crowley overcome earlier polling deficits after other contenders like Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez and Mandela Barnes exited the race. The market's overwhelming consensus on a Crowley victory reflects official results and the absence of viable challenges to certification, while low probabilities on specific Hong margin bands or a Barnes win align with the confirmed outcome and timeline. Residual uncertainty in tight races could still hinge on final vote tabulation or procedural disputes before full resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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