Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Dan Green 100.0%
Marcus Carter <1%
Thomas Chalifoux <1%
Jorge Malavet <1%
$191,207 Vol.
$191,207 Vol.

Marcus Carter
No

Thomas Chalifoux
No

Jorge Malavet
No

Howard Steven Rance
No

Justin Story
No

Ben Butler
No

Dan Green
Sí

Jorge Martínez
No

Steve Rance
No
Dan Green 100.0%
Marcus Carter <1%
Thomas Chalifoux <1%
Jorge Malavet <1%
$191,207 Vol.
$191,207 Vol.

Marcus Carter
No

Thomas Chalifoux
No

Jorge Malavet
No

Howard Steven Rance
No

Justin Story
No

Ben Butler
No

Dan Green
Sí

Jorge Martínez
No

Steve Rance
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Dan Green secured the Republican nomination for Florida's 9th congressional district in the August 18, 2026 primary, finishing with 25.4% of the vote in a seven-candidate field and narrowly ahead of Ben Butler. Traders assign him near-certain probability due to certified results and projections from outlets including Decision Desk HQ, reflecting endorsements from figures such as Jim Jordan and fundraising momentum in the newly redrawn district. Other candidates, including veterans Marcus Carter and Steve Rance, received minimal support. Late recounts or certification disputes remain possible in close primaries, though current vote margins and rapid projections limit realistic paths for reversal before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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