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Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

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Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$12,634 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$12,634 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No".

A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$12,634
Enddatum
Sep 7, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2025, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Umstritten

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No".

A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$12,634
Enddatum
Sep 7, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Aug 8, 2025, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Umstritten

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Umstritten

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 8, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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