Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, reflecting the law's entrenched protectionism amid powerful maritime unions, shipbuilders, and coastal lawmakers. The Trump administration's March 18, 2026, announcement of a limited 60-day waiver—expiring mid-May—to ease fuel supply bottlenecks from geopolitical tensions underscores temporary relief rather than structural reform, with industry stakeholders dismissing its price impact. Absent congressional momentum or regulatory overhaul, historical repeal failures reinforce skepticism, positioning the market for resolution barring unforeseen legislative catalysts like energy crisis escalation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$47,622 Vol.
$47,622 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$47,622 Vol.
$47,622 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, reflecting the law's entrenched protectionism amid powerful maritime unions, shipbuilders, and coastal lawmakers. The Trump administration's March 18, 2026, announcement of a limited 60-day waiver—expiring mid-May—to ease fuel supply bottlenecks from geopolitical tensions underscores temporary relief rather than structural reform, with industry stakeholders dismissing its price impact. Absent congressional momentum or regulatory overhaul, historical repeal failures reinforce skepticism, positioning the market for resolution barring unforeseen legislative catalysts like energy crisis escalation.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volumen
$47,622Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, reflecting the law's entrenched protectionism amid powerful maritime unions, shipbuilders, and coastal lawmakers. The Trump administration's March 18, 2026, announcement of a limited 60-day waiver—expiring mid-May—to ease fuel supply bottlenecks from geopolitical tensions underscores temporary relief rather than structural reform, with industry stakeholders dismissing its price impact. Absent congressional momentum or regulatory overhaul, historical repeal failures reinforce skepticism, positioning the market for resolution barring unforeseen legislative catalysts like energy crisis escalation.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$47,622Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, reflecting the law's entrenched protectionism amid powerful maritime unions, shipbuilders, and coastal lawmakers. The Trump administration's March 18, 2026, announcement of a limited 60-day waiver—expiring mid-May—to ease fuel supply bottlenecks from geopolitical tensions underscores temporary relief rather than structural reform, with industry stakeholders dismissing its price impact. Absent congressional momentum or regulatory overhaul, historical repeal failures reinforce skepticism, positioning the market for resolution barring unforeseen legislative catalysts like energy crisis escalation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen