Recent polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, have widened the opposition party's lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's incumbents ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to price TISZA's victory at two-thirds probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA has surged on momentum from massive March 15 rallies drawing half a million supporters, strong backing from younger voters, and dissatisfaction with Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and EU tensions. Fidesz retains advantages in the single-member district-heavy electoral system and recent by-election wins, but polling aggregates reflect trader skepticism about Orbán securing another majority amid undecided voters and opposition unity. Final debates and turnout could tip the closely watched contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertGewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl
Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl
TISZA 67%
Fidesz-KDNP 34%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$49,032,579 Vol.
$49,032,579 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
67%
Fidesz-KDNP
34%
Momentum
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 67%
Fidesz-KDNP 34%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$49,032,579 Vol.
$49,032,579 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$870,840 Vol.
67%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,148,743 Vol.
34%
Momentum
$603,659 Vol.
<1%
DK
$4,876,095 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,703 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$456,332 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$475,211 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$7,088,495 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$14,796,693 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$4,390,807 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, have widened the opposition party's lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's incumbents ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to price TISZA's victory at two-thirds probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA has surged on momentum from massive March 15 rallies drawing half a million supporters, strong backing from younger voters, and dissatisfaction with Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and EU tensions. Fidesz retains advantages in the single-member district-heavy electoral system and recent by-election wins, but polling aggregates reflect trader skepticism about Orbán securing another majority amid undecided voters and opposition unity. Final debates and turnout could tip the closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Volumen
$49,032,579Enddatum
Apr 12, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, have widened the opposition party's lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's incumbents ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to price TISZA's victory at two-thirds probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA has surged on momentum from massive March 15 rallies drawing half a million supporters, strong backing from younger voters, and dissatisfaction with Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and EU tensions. Fidesz retains advantages in the single-member district-heavy electoral system and recent by-election wins, but polling aggregates reflect trader skepticism about Orbán securing another majority amid undecided voters and opposition unity. Final debates and turnout could tip the closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$49,032,579Enddatum
Apr 12, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, have widened the opposition party's lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's incumbents ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to price TISZA's victory at two-thirds probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA has surged on momentum from massive March 15 rallies drawing half a million supporters, strong backing from younger voters, and dissatisfaction with Fidesz's long rule amid economic pressures and EU tensions. Fidesz retains advantages in the single-member district-heavy electoral system and recent by-election wins, but polling aggregates reflect trader skepticism about Orbán securing another majority amid undecided voters and opposition unity. Final debates and turnout could tip the closely watched contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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