Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Seoul's March 19 high at 9°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability, as ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this outcome amid persistent cold northerly winds and cloudy skies suppressing temperatures. Historical March data shows Seoul averages 11-12°C highs, but current synoptic patterns—stagnant high-pressure ridges and low solar insolation—align with verified soundings and satellite imagery supporting the cool projection. Realistic challenges include a sudden foehn wind event or frontal breakdown accelerating warming to 10°C+, though surface observations today at 5-7°C indicate low upset risk barring model divergence in final hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on March 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 19?
9°C 100.0%
3°C oder darunter <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
3°C oder darunter
Nein
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
3°C oder darunter <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
3°C oder darunter
Nein
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast pins Seoul's March 19 high at 9°C, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability, as ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS converge on this outcome amid persistent cold northerly winds and cloudy skies suppressing temperatures. Historical March data shows Seoul averages 11-12°C highs, but current synoptic patterns—stagnant high-pressure ridges and low solar insolation—align with verified soundings and satellite imagery supporting the cool projection. Realistic challenges include a sudden foehn wind event or frontal breakdown accelerating warming to 10°C+, though surface observations today at 5-7°C indicate low upset risk barring model divergence in final hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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