Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 17°C (86.5% implied probability) as Milan's highest temperature on March 25, propelled by the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble forecasts converging on mid-afternoon peaks near 17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and mild southerly airflow. Current observations from Milan Linate Airport show morning readings around 10-11°C, matching model initializations for gradual warming without extreme spikes. March climatology at the site averages 13-15°C maxima, but recent days' above-normal warmth—fueled by the ridge—bolsters the 18°C outlier at 10.5%, while hotter outcomes remain negligible per probabilistic model outputs. Hourly updates from Italy's Aeronautica Militare could shift tail risks before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 25. März?
17°C 88%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.5%
20°C <1%
$46,921 Vol.
$46,921 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
88%
18°C
13%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 88%
18°C 13%
19°C 1.5%
20°C <1%
$46,921 Vol.
$46,921 Vol.
16°C
<1%
17°C
88%
18°C
13%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 17°C (86.5% implied probability) as Milan's highest temperature on March 25, propelled by the latest ECMWF and ICON ensemble forecasts converging on mid-afternoon peaks near 17°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge and mild southerly airflow. Current observations from Milan Linate Airport show morning readings around 10-11°C, matching model initializations for gradual warming without extreme spikes. March climatology at the site averages 13-15°C maxima, but recent days' above-normal warmth—fueled by the ridge—bolsters the 18°C outlier at 10.5%, while hotter outcomes remain negligible per probabilistic model outputs. Hourly updates from Italy's Aeronautica Militare could shift tail risks before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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