Trader consensus favors 86-89°F highs in Dallas on March 26, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting a strong upper-level ridge over Texas, promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies for peak afternoon heating around 3-5 PM. The narrow 36% vs. 30.5% spread between 86-87°F and 88-89°F reflects model divergence: GFS ensembles skew hotter toward 89°F with lighter winds, while ECMWF implies slight cooling from mid-level clouds, per NWS guidance. Historical March 26 averages hover near 75°F, but this setup echoes 2023's 92°F outlier; watch 12z updates for refined probabilities amid 2-3°F forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 26. März?
30-31°C 37%
88–89°F 30%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 10%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
79°F oder niedriger
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
13%
30-31°C
37%
88–89°F
30%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
30-31°C 37%
88–89°F 30%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 10%
$17,481 Vol.
$17,481 Vol.
79°F oder niedriger
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
13%
30-31°C
37%
88–89°F
30%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 86-89°F highs in Dallas on March 26, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting a strong upper-level ridge over Texas, promoting subsidence warming and mostly clear skies for peak afternoon heating around 3-5 PM. The narrow 36% vs. 30.5% spread between 86-87°F and 88-89°F reflects model divergence: GFS ensembles skew hotter toward 89°F with lighter winds, while ECMWF implies slight cooling from mid-level clouds, per NWS guidance. Historical March 26 averages hover near 75°F, but this setup echoes 2023's 92°F outlier; watch 12z updates for refined probabilities amid 2-3°F forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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