Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 19. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 19. März?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F oder darunter <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 Vol.
$100,913 Vol.
73°F oder darunter
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Ja
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92°F oder höher
Nein
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F oder darunter <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$100,913 Vol.
$100,913 Vol.
73°F oder darunter
Nein
74-75°F
Nein
76-77°F
Nein
78-79°F
Nein
80-81°F
Nein
82-83°F
Nein
84-85°F
Nein
86-87°F
Ja
88-89°F
Nein
90-91°F
Nein
92°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 15, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a Dallas high temperature of 86-87°F on March 19, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinning the peak at 86°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge amplifying heat over North Texas. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, with 12-km HRRR runs reinforcing this through dewpoint depressions supporting daytime heating to those levels. Historical March data for Dallas-Fort Worth averages 67°F highs, making this an outlier but consistent with early-spring warm surges. Realistic challenges include an unexpected dryline bulge or nocturnal cold front surge, though low-probability per current 500-mb charts, potentially nudging temps toward 88°F or higher if heating accelerates unchecked.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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